With the end of post-1990s hyper-globalization, scenarios for the world economy run the gamut. In the best case, achieving a better balance
A Better Globalization Might Rise from Hyper-Globalization’s Ashes
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When Does Inflation Stop?
To understand the increase in consumer price inflation around the world, one must look not only at supply and demand but also at the wedge
Europe’s Gas Conundrum
If Europe is willing to pay the price of expensive LNG imports, it could severely undermine Russia’s ability to earn hard currency via gas
The Fed Does Not Deserve All the Inflation Blame
The US Federal Reserve certainly bears its share of responsibility for the great inflation of the 2020s. But powerful political pressures
Friends Without Benefits
By calling for supply chains to be shifted away from strategic rivals, US Secretary of the Treasury Janet Yellen has implicitly rejected the
Will Western Sanctions Change the Global Financial System?
Western countries’ increased use of financial sanctions as a weapon of war has created a new incentive for China and other countries
The Growing Threat of Global Recession
With luck, the risk of a synchronized global downturn will recede by late 2022. But for the moment, the odds of recession in Europe, the United
The Growth Engines Are Sputtering
The International Monetary Fund’s significant downward revision to its 2022 World Economic Outlook, just one quarter into the calendar year,
This Inflation Is Demand-Driven and Persistent
Although inflation has risen sharply for multiple reasons, increased demand is by far the most important factor. The common argument about
Public-Private Decarbonization
To keep global warming within 1.5°C, trillions of dollars more will need to be invested in clean energy production and infrastructure every
The Carbon Price Solution
The net-zero transition requires the rapid development at scale of new technologies, energy-efficient infrastructure, and carbon capture and
Storm Clouds Over the Global Economy
Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and a resurgence of inflation around the world, the prospects for a robust global recovery from the
How to Sanction a Nuclear Foe
Sanctions are an important and powerful weapon, and they are putting some pressure on the Kremlin. But unless the West employs them judiciously,
The Dollar’s Reserves of Strength
The US-China trade war and the recent freezing of much of Russia’s official foreign-exchange reserves have again raised fears of an exodus
The End of the “Global Savings Glut”?
Regardless of whether America’s persistent current-account deficits really can be explained primarily by the accumulation of excess
Can the World Afford Russia-Style Sanctions on China?
Many academic studies suggest that sanctions on China or a break in Sino-American economic ties probably would have a smaller quantitative
Russia Is Finished as a Major Energy Power
In the wake of Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine, no European in their right mind wants Russia to have the free cash flow that its
Madeleine Albright’s Potent Legacy for Women
Madeline Albright made it her life’s work to fight for women.
Blundering into a nuclear war in Ukraine: a hypothetical scenario
NTI experts believe that the most likely use of nuclear weapons in any scenario would be unintentional—that humanity would blunder into
Fight Inflation with Supply-Side Labor Reform
High inflation demands supply side solutions. The labor force needs to be made more attractive to workers.
How to Use Economic Sanctions Wisely
Given the horrors of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the public’s support for sanctions has been strong. But, before tightening
China’s Time for Global Leadership
In the past 40 years, no country has benefited more from globalization than China. Now, as Russian President Vladimir Putin’s appalling
These Russia Sanctions Are Different
The multilateral sanctions imposed on Russia since the invasion of Ukraine will severely reduce Russians’ standard of living and their
NATO Must Get MAD at Russia
Russia has shown that it is ready to murder innocent Ukrainians, but it is not ready to commit suicide. And that holds the key to preventing