Weekly Market Compass
Omicron rattled markets. And it exposed them. Flagging profits, peak valuations and economic uncertainty are today’s realities, not tomorrow’s
Inflation is beginning to be felt in financial markets. For the astute investor, opportunity beckons.
For financial markets, 2022 is shaping up to be all about inflation and how central banks respond to it. A policy error could prove irreparably
In a world characterized by rapid and significant change, central banks need less focus on hawks and doves, and more on crows.
Parents shouldn’t spend their children’s money. But when it comes to healthcare and pensions, intergenerational injustice is enormous.
The world is adrift, yet investors are unconcerned. That’s collectively unwise.
Markets are enjoying a treat of strong profits growth. Beware the trick of supply chain disruptions that are boosting costs, impeding output
As the third quarter earnings season kicks off, all eyes will be on cost pressures. Margin compression is a concern, but the biggest questions
Markets have become more volatile. That’s unsurprising, given high valuations, moderating growth and peak earnings. But volatility is also
Evergrande is not China’s Lehman and a western style debt crisis will not be allowed to play out in China. Still, investors should prepare
Unusual disruptions to labor markets, supply chains and production have slowed growth and boosted inflation, but those factors appear unlikely
Easy monetary policies and the absence of compelling alternatives have pushed investors into one of the great equity market advances in history.
September is the worst month for equities. And after a powerful bull market, investors might understandably be concerned. But this September
Chairman Powell pulled off an impressive feat on Friday. He signaled the Fed’s willingness to taper without unleashing a tantrum. The secret:
The Fed faces difficult decisions. The incoming data suggest tapering is imminent. But risks are also on the rise.
The dog days of summer are here. But when the ‘big dog’–aka the Fed–arrives, the heat may shift to the markets.
Beneath the calm exterior of markets, rotation and counter-rotation are befuddling asset managers. That’s not likely to change.
The tremors of pandemic, climate change and populism betray the existence of deep fault lines in capitalism’s coexistence with democracy
Pitchforks are the symbol of popular unrest. Plowshares the biblical allusion to peace and prosperity. Technology companies would be wise
Investors are unimpressed with Q2 earnings. Is the arrival of peak earnings a sign of peak markets? We doubt it.
Global markets are struggling to find direction and the reason resides in the calculus of markets, namely a divergence between first and second
The pandemic unleashed forces shifting the contours of supply and demand. Price and volume signals are tough to read—for economists and
In a world of negative real interest rates, tight credit spreads and wobbly cryptocurrencies, investors are hemmed in. Stock markets win when