George Magnus is an independent economist and commentator, and
Research Associate at the China Centre, Oxford University, and at the School of Oriental and African Studies, London.
George was the Chief Economist, and then Senior Economic Adviser at UBS Investment Bank from 1995-2012. He had a front row seat and key managerial position for multiple episodes of boom and bust in both advanced economies and emerging markets, including notably the Great Financial Crisis of 2008. George famously anticipated it in 2006-2007 with a series of research papers in which he warned of an impending Minsky Moment.
Whilst at UBS, he served for four years as the Chair of the Investment
Committee of the pension and life assurance fund. For four years until 2016, he served finally as an external senior adviser with clients of the investment
He had previously worked as the Chief Economist at SG Warburg
(1987-1995), and before that in a senior capacity before ‘Big Bang’ at Laurie
Milbank/Chase Securities, and before that, Bank of America in London and San
George is closely followed nowadays for his insights and
observations about the global economy in general, and China and demographics, in particular. His China focus derives from a long period of observation and study that goes back to his first visit in 1994. He also opines regularly on demographic trends around the world, as well as on key issues nowadays such as Brexit, and the US and world economy. He is a regular contributor to the Financial Times, Prospect Magazine, BBC TV and radio, Bloomberg TV and other outlets. His written work and a blog can be found on his website at www.georgemagnus.com
George’s current book, Red Flags: why Xi’s China is in
Jeopardy was published in September 2018 by Yale University Press. It examines China’s contemporary economic and commercial challenges and aspirations to modernity in the light of a governance system that is a throwback to much earlier times in the People’s Republic. His earlier books are The Age
of Aging (2008), which investigated the effects of the unique experience of demographic change on the global economy; and Uprising:
will emerging markets shape or shake the world economy? (2011)which examined the rise of China and other major emerging markets, and questioned controversially the widely accepted narrative that China was destined to rule the world.