Larry Hatheway

Larry Hatheway

Larry Hatheway has over 25 years experience as an economist and multi-asset investment professional. He is co-founder, with Alexander Friedman, of Jackson Hole Economics, LLC, which offers commentary and analysis on the global economy, policy & politics, and their broad implications for capital markets. Prior to co-founding Jackson Hole Economics, LLC Larry worked at GAM… Continue Reading

What the Stock Market Is Really Saying

What the Stock Market Is Really Saying

The seeming confidence expressed by global equity markets in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic has surprised many – including many market participants. But a closer look reveals an unambiguous message: The global economy is facing a long, deep malaise, followed by a “new normal” of reduced earnings and profitability for all but a chosen few. Continue Reading

Thoughts on Surviving the Avalanche

Thoughts on Surviving the Avalanche

Financial markets are in disarray. Indexes are in free-fall one day, bursting upwards the next. Many investors are on the edge of panic. Some of us have been caught in an avalanche, had near-drowning experiences, been in a car crash, or served in the military and seen armed conflict. When panic comes, and it usually… Continue Reading

A COVID-19 Emergency Response Plan

A COVID-19 Emergency Response Plan

The COVID-19 epidemic is accelerating, and as the new coronavirus approaches pandemic status, it is increasingly likely that the economic impact will be severe. Alongside intensifying public-health responses, governments must step in to mitigate the virus’s impact on growth, employment, and living standards. Continue Reading

The Reality of Wyoming’s Fiscal Future

The Reality of Wyoming’s Fiscal Future

Few images better capture the Wild West’s by-gone era of adventure and lawlessness than ‘most wanted’ posters adorned with the grimacing miens of bank robbers like Butch Cassidy or Jessie James. Today’s residents of Wyoming might soon fear another ‘heist’, but this time the image may portray the smiling face of the tax collector. Continue Reading

Outlook 2020

Outlook 2020

What it means—in plain English In 2020 the world economy is likely to extend its longest expansion on record. Inflation has defied forecasts by staying low. Don’t count on that changing anytime soon. The biggest risks are political, not economic. Partly, that reflects a resilient world economy. Mostly, it reflects the potential for harm wrought… Continue Reading

When Protection Does Harm

When Protection Does Harm

Yellowstone is America’s first national park. Today, after almost 150 years in existence, it is one of the largest nearly intact ecosystems on the planet. Teams of park rangers and ecologists carefully guard it from damaging invasive species and it is a great example of how humans can draw a boundary around something for its… Continue Reading

Restoring Central Banks’ Credibility

Restoring Central Banks’ Credibility

The old central-bank playbook of slashing interest rates to spur consumption, investment, and employment has become less effective since the 2008 financial crisis. Yet without effective tools and the public’s confidence, central banks will be unable to rise to the occasion when the next recession arrives. Continue Reading

The US economy’s strange decade

The US economy’s strange decade

Weak productivity growth helps to explain the continued robust rates of job creation in the United States, as well as workers’ sluggish wage gains. If left unresolved, the productivity malaise will ensure that the current expansion remains uniquely unbalanced and unhealthy. Continue Reading