The Fed misjudged inflation in 2021. But only its reputation was damaged. In 2022, it must get inflation and much else right or else the global
Larry Hatheway has over 25 years’ experience as an economist and multi-asset investment professional. He is co-founder, with Alexander Friedman, of Jackson Hole Economics, a non-profit offering commentary and analysis on the global economy, matters of public policy, and capital markets. Larry is also the founder of HarborAdvisors, LLC, an investment advisory firm catering to family offices and institutional clients worldwide.
Previously, Larry worked at GAM Investments from 2015-2019 as Group Chief Economist and Global Head of Investment Solutions, where he was responsible for a team of 50 investment professionals managing over $10bn in assets. While at GAM, Larry authored numerous articles on the world economy, policy-making, and multi-asset investment strategy.
From 1992 until 2015 Larry worked at UBS Investment Bank as Chief Economist (2005-2015), Head of Global Asset Allocation (2001-2012), Global Head of Fixed Income and Currency Strategy (1998-2001), Chief Economist, Asia (1995-1998) and Senior International Economist (1992-1995). Larry is widely recognized for his appearances on Bloomberg TV, CNBC, the BBC, CNN, and other media outlets. He frequently publishes articles and opinion pieces for Bloomberg, Barron’s, and Project Syndicate, among others.
Larry holds a PhD in Economics from the University of Texas, an MA in International Studies from the Johns Hopkins University, and a BA in History and German from Whitman College. Larry is married with four grown children and resides with his wife in Redding, CT, alongside their dog, chickens, bees, and a few ‘loaner’ sheep and goats.
Turbulence at 30,000 Feet
Inflation, Divergence and Opportunity
Inflation is beginning to be felt in financial markets. For the astute investor, opportunity beckons.
Inflation Judgement Time
For financial markets, 2022 is shaping up to be all about inflation and how central banks respond to it. A policy error could prove irreparably
Hawks, Doves, and Crows
In a world characterized by rapid and significant change, central banks need less focus on hawks and doves, and more on crows.
When Boom Turns to Bust
Parents shouldn’t spend their children’s money. But when it comes to healthcare and pensions, intergenerational injustice is enormous.
Changing of the Guard
The world is adrift, yet investors are unconcerned. That’s collectively unwise.
Evergrande, Not So Grand?
Evergrande is not China’s Lehman and a western style debt crisis will not be allowed to play out in China. Still, investors should prepare
What Does it all Mean?
Unusual disruptions to labor markets, supply chains and production have slowed growth and boosted inflation, but those factors appear unlikely
The Cruelest Month?
September is the worst month for equities. And after a powerful bull market, investors might understandably be concerned. But this September
Pitchforks into Plowshares
Pitchforks are the symbol of popular unrest. Plowshares the biblical allusion to peace and prosperity. Technology companies would be wise
Peak Earnings, Peak Markets
Investors are unimpressed with Q2 earnings. Is the arrival of peak earnings a sign of peak markets? We doubt it.