A Trump victory this November would hasten the return of US isolationism and the decline of American hegemony. The roots of American withdrawal
American Greatness and Decline
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Politics
Germany’s Dangerous Alternatives
The breakdown of Germany’s postwar centrist political consensus poses risks for Germany and Europe. Elections this year could not be more
2024 Elections: The Trump “Dummy” Factor
The Trump effect is well-known, but not for what the conventional wisdom believes — the data suggest that Trump consistently hurts his and
China’s Imagination Deficit
Despite facing a flagging economy, powerful demographic headwinds, and an escalating rivalry with the United States, the Chinese government
Davos and the Perils of Prediction
Why is it that a gathering of the world’s wealthiest and most powerful people tends to produce such an inability to predict the future?
Loosening the Threads of Anti-Immigrant Bias
Educating young people to thrive in increasingly diverse schools requires reimagining how we build a shared sense of belonging among youth.
Protecting Ukraine Aid from Western Political Dysfunction
Despite overwhelming public support, domestic partisan disputes prevent Western countries from delivering crucial aid to Ukraine. To ensure
It’s (More Than) the Economy, Stupid!
Lower inflation and low unemployment, alone, may not ensure Biden’s reelection. Voter economic angst runs deeper and broader than simple
Not Just Democracy on the Ballot
Liberalism, far more than democracy, is at stake in this year’s elections. What America and the world need are voices that can rejuvenate
The Rule of Law Under Fire
The post-1945 international order is not perfect, not least because it remains dominated by its leaders and architects: Europe and, especially,
Fulfilling the Promise of Medicare
Medicare is a program so good that it is worth improving. But powerful vested interests stand in the way of a system that could provide better
The Legacy of Henry Kissinger
Kissinger left a complex legacy, highlighted by strategic brilliance and tarnished by deep flaws. In his life’s work and actions reside
If Europe Could Do It, So Can the Middle East
A two-state solution must be bold, creative and inclusive. That does not make it impossible.
Crime and Politics in 2024
A year from now Americans will be heading to the polls to select their next President, and crime will be one of the key issues.
War and Dollars
Between new wars, the return of nuclear brinkmanship, and threats to the US dollar, there is good reason to worry about the future of global
World of Warfare
The post-1945 Pax Americana appears more vulnerable than ever before, and its main rivals are eager to exploit its apparent weaknesses in
The Middle East: Emotion, Reasoning and Hope
The massacres of innocent Israeli men, women, and children by Hamas were monstrous acts of pure evil. How are we to understand what has happened?
The Spiral of Violence that Led to Hamas
In the eyes of many outside observers, the cause of Palestinian autonomy and statehood has now been tainted by the gruesome murders and abductions
The New World Disorder
The conspicuous absence of leaders such as Chinese President Xi Jinping and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi from the 78th session of the
This Cold War Is Different
Contrary to how it may appear to many, not least in the US, the new cold war seems to be based not on the old logic of polarization, but on
Is America Reverting to Isolationism?
Following the first Republican debate of the US presidential primary season, there is good reason to worry about what a Republican victory
Why Is America Undercutting Japan?
At a time when the United States is asking its allies to help it counter China, its wasteful, inefficient industrial policies are making it
The Comeback of Industrial Policy: Bidenomics and the Global System
Industrial policy is not always wrong and sometimes it is very right. Now is one of those times. Even Adam Smith might agree.
The Long Reach of China’s Demographic Destiny
Although China is on the verge of escaping the dreaded “middle-income trap,” it is aging fast and facing significant economic