A two-state solution is both the ideal and the enigma of the Israeli-Palestine conflict. Is it possible?
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The Big Push African Women Need to Escape Poverty
Investing in women makes a difference. Africa provides the example.
Putin’s Silk Road Around Sanctions
The overriding imperative for the West must be to make Russia’s war against Ukraine as costly as possible for Russians. Why, then, are
Carbon Credits Hold the Key to Combating Deforestation
After 15 years of planning and preparation, Ghana is poised to offer carbon credits to buyers in the Global North, who, facing accusations
The Submergence of Emerging Markets
Despite what many think, the world as a whole has become vastly more equal, thanks to decades of rapid growth in China, India, and other emerging
Trump, Avalanches, and Character
Sometimes, an avalanche is triggered by one final snowflake weighting a slope beyond what it can take. Could Trump’s growing litany of legal
The Fiscal State of the Union
If political leaders in the US don’t tackle both structural fiscal adjustment and tax reform, 2025 will be a year of reckoning.
Explaining Americans’ Pessimism About a Strong Economy
At least six reasons have been advanced to explain the apparent disconnect between US economic indicators and public-opinion surveys. While
Which AI Risks Matter?
Although overly confident predictions about artificial intelligence are as old as the field itself, there is good reason to take seriously
The Lonesome Death of Alexei Navalny
Navalny’s only ‘crime’ was opposing Vladimir Putin, for which he paid with his life.
Why Is China Stalling Out?
China’s faltering growth reflects waning confidence in the country’s governing elite.
America’s Steel Madness
Economic common sense is too often sacrificed for political expediency. Steel may be the next such case.
The Economic State of the Union
As President Biden prepares to deliver his State of the Union address, it is an opportune time to consider what the economic data says about
Will Ukraine Survive?
What Ukraine and its Western backers have accomplished in the wake of Russia’s February 2022 invasion is extraordinary. But with congressional
What Is the Fed Thinking?
The US Federal Reserve has clearly signaled that it is in no hurry to align its policy interest rate with the presumed value of the neutral
Credit Bidenomics for Rising US Wages
After five decades of widening inequality and stagnant pay, low- and middle-income workers in the United States experienced a significant
The Next Inflationary Surge
Negative supply shocks are likely to become more frequent, leading to greater inflation volatility. But monetary policy cannot address adverse
American Greatness and Decline
A Trump victory this November would hasten the return of US isolationism and the decline of American hegemony. The roots of American withdrawal
Germany’s Dangerous Alternatives
The breakdown of Germany’s postwar centrist political consensus poses risks for Germany and Europe. Elections this year could not be more
2024 Elections: The Trump “Dummy” Factor
The Trump effect is well-known, but not for what the conventional wisdom believes — the data suggest that Trump consistently hurts his and
FTX Was Never Really Bankrupt
The prosecution in Sam Bankman-Fried’s criminal trial drilled into the jurors’ heads that FTX customer losses exceeded $8 billion, but
China’s Imagination Deficit
Despite facing a flagging economy, powerful demographic headwinds, and an escalating rivalry with the United States, the Chinese government
Davos and the Perils of Prediction
Why is it that a gathering of the world’s wealthiest and most powerful people tends to produce such an inability to predict the future?
Loosening the Threads of Anti-Immigrant Bias
Educating young people to thrive in increasingly diverse schools requires reimagining how we build a shared sense of belonging among youth.