Investors are treading on thin ice. Fading fiscal stimulus, interest rate hikes, and high valuations are problematic. Soon, slowing earnings
Are They So Sure?
Central bankers got ‘transitory’ wrong. But now they may be on the verge of a bigger mistake. Let’s hope not.
Market Drivers for 2022
Slowing earnings, Chinese growth and French elections are likely to be more important for 2022 markets than inflation, fiscal policy or bond
2022 and Five Big Topics to Consider
We consider five provocative, challenging and even uncomfortable themes that could dominate the 2022 news cycle.
Omicron is Only Part of the Story
Omicron rattled markets. And it exposed them. Flagging profits, peak valuations and economic uncertainty are today’s realities, not tomorrow’s
Trick or Treat
Markets are enjoying a treat of strong profits growth. Beware the trick of supply chain disruptions that are boosting costs, impeding output
How Patient Are Investors?
As the third quarter earnings season kicks off, all eyes will be on cost pressures. Margin compression is a concern, but the biggest questions
Filtering Out the Noise
Markets have become more volatile. That’s unsurprising, given high valuations, moderating growth and peak earnings. But volatility is also
Old Bulls
Easy monetary policies and the absence of compelling alternatives have pushed investors into one of the great equity market advances in history.
Unambiguous Ambiguity
Chairman Powell pulled off an impressive feat on Friday. He signaled the Fed’s willingness to taper without unleashing a tantrum. The secret:
Fly Fishing for the Fed
The Fed faces difficult decisions. The incoming data suggest tapering is imminent. But risks are also on the rise.
The Dog Days of Summer
The dog days of summer are here. But when the ‘big dog’–aka the Fed–arrives, the heat may shift to the markets.