Reflation and Rotation are all the rage. But over time, re-balancing matters more.
Central Bank Credibility
By tolerating an inflation overshoot, the Fed may be boxing itself in. Fine tuning is the stuff of hubris, and hubris rarely serves anyone
Keep an Eye on What Really Matters
Investors have been unnerved by rising bond yields. But volatility is not the enemy. Keep an eye on what really matters — economic re-opening
Scary Monsters
David Bowie’s ‘Let’s Dance’ may be catchier than ‘Scary Monsters’, but investors would be well advised to watch out for what lurks
How Deep Should Investors Swim?
Swimming against a tide pushed forward by massive policy stimulus seems likely to leave contrarian investors with little to show for their
Democratic Disagreement
Divisions among the Democrats are opening, with potentially profound impacts on a cyclical recovery, inflation, financial markets and longer-term
The Game Stops Here
The GameStop saga is not about altruism or financial democracy, more likely greed and a dollop of vengeance. But lessons ought to be drawn,
An Important Week
A combination of the peak of the 4th quarter earnings season, political wrangling over the Biden Administration’s proposal to stimulate
Doubt is Good
Believing erroneously in certainty is perilous — investors should be wary of certainty’s close cousin, consensus thinking.
Making Sense of the Nonsensical
The past week was marked by shocking images of violent protestors occupying the US Capitol, yet the horror barely registered in financial
Is Good News Bad News?
The key risk to the markets in the year ahead is mistaking good outcomes for good news — the outcomes we all fervently hope to see are,
Investing in 2021: Willful Ignorance or Calculated Risk?
2020 has been a year of calculated risk. But periods of strong returns often spawn complacency and excessive confidence.