President-Elect Trump promises tax cuts and deregulation that will boost trend US GDP growth. But it is very possible that demand outstrips
Can Trump Dump the Dollar?
US President-elect Donald Trump’s incoming administration will likely seek to weaken the greenback’s exchange rate. But whether
The Truth About Migration
Time and again, migration has driven human advancement. With the right policies, it will continue to do so.
A No-Brainer for Global Growth and US Jobs
With global growth slowing and many developing countries facing debt crises, the world needs another infusion of the International Monetary
Global Economic Perspectives 2025
The world economy in 2025 superficially resembles that of 2024. But, beneath a tranquil economic surface, important changes are taking place.
The Economic Consequences of Trump 2.0
The US president-elect’s signature policies will do almost nothing positive for less educated Americans or significantly improve the
Economic Development in a Protectionist World
As apprehension grows in China, Europe, and Japan about a possible trade war triggered by the incoming Trump administration, one should also
Hope, Dreams and Good Works in 2025
As we welcome 2025 amid a daunting array of challenges, it is important to pause and marvel at the many positive trends that mark our world
Touching the Face of our Star
On December 26th, NASA’s Parker Solar Probe touched the Sun, flying faster than any human object before and reminding us that mankind can
A Baseline Scenario for the Global Economy in 2025
In 2024, global geopolitics and national politics have undergone considerable upheaval.
Gender Apartheid Is a Crime Against Humanity
As the Taliban escalates its oppression of women and girls, the international community must hold Afghanistan’s leaders accountable.
The US Economy’s Trust Deficit
Declining trust in America’s institutions is not merely a contemporary phenomenon. It has real economic costs.
What If Trump Subdues the Fed?
More and more commentators are thinking the unthinkable: Donald Trump might end the Fed’s independence. The result would be calamitous.
The Half Promise of Weight-Loss Drugs
For all their promise, weight-loss drugs are the proverbial band-aid on the mortal wound. If we are to address obesity, we must address a
Could He Do It?
The financial markets are near all-time highs, yet the ingredients for an epochal financial crisis appear to be building.
Populism Never Lasts
Understanding the return of populism is crucial for making sense of today’s politics.