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The New Eastern Mediterranean Crisis
While much of the world remains distracted by the COVID-19 pandemic, Turkey is trying to reshape its geopolitical neighborhood, and Lebanon
The Coming Global Technology Fracture
Today’s international trade regime was not designed for a world of data, software, and artificial intelligence. Already under severe
Winning the Fight Against Cholera
In recent years, the world has made considerable progress in the fight against cholera. But, with climate change, urbanization, and population
The Cruelest Month
September, and October, will probably contain a few nasty surprises. Get ready.
A K-Shaped Recovery is a Disaster
The stock market is soaring while small businesses are dying. It can’t go on this way. A K-shaped recovery is a disaster, and would undermine
The Fed Can’t Drive Stocks Much Higher
Although the Fed’s August policy update reinforced some analysts positive view of U.S. stocks going forward, it does not inspire much confidence
Winners and Losers of the Pandemic Economy
While it is true that bullish equity markets are out of step with the historic contraction in the real economy, to say that they are disconnected
Poverty as Injustice
Across Western advanced economies, a widespread sense of malaise has given rise to a debate about what the state can and should do to ensure
Chadwick Boseman Tribute
A Marvel Tribute to Chadwick Boseman
Politics, Just Not Now
The choices voters will make in the US, Germany and Japan, could not be more consequential. No less may be at stake than the fate of liberal
Rings of Impact
Today, there is an important opportunity for businesses to engage in a “Race to the Top” as they re-design their practices to be attractive
Board Games
For long periods of economic history, societies have built walls to defend themselves, relying on local suppliers to a domestic marketplace.
In the Shadow of the Tetons
This week, this missing Tetons will cast a metaphorical shadow over the Fed deliberations. The reason for their absence will be a powerful
Joe Biden, Redemption and The American Dream
There were no special effects, no crowds, no band, no balloons. But, none of this was needed. As Joe Biden looked at a blank camera, with
Whither the Pandemic Economy?
The good news is that the unprecedented initial policy response to the economic downturn triggered by COVID-19 has averted a worst-case scenario,
To the Brink with China
The chances of a Sino-American cold war are far higher today than they were just months ago. Even worse, the chances of an actual war, resulting
Gold? Bitcoin? It’s worth revisiting Milton Friedman
Today’s gold and cryptocurrency ‘bugs’ sense that inflation will bring handsome returns. They may want to dust off the works of Milton
What is the Market Telling Us?
Now that the world’s benchmark equity index—the S&P500—has closed in on its pre-pandemic and all-time highs, it’s useful to carefully
Why the US Election May Not Matter for Investors
While the stakes of the upcoming US election are theoretically higher than usual, Julian Howard argues that the relationship between US politics
The Robot Question
Although robots that can perform human labor will put downward pressure on wages in the short term, they also will increase the rate of profit,
Hope for a New “UN Moment”
When the United Nations celebrates its 75th anniversary this September, the US will still be misgoverned by a transactional president who
No Time For Complacency
Despite a deep global recession, double-digit declines in worldwide corporate profitability, rising geo-political risk and no effective long-term
The Long Run
The long run is a forecaster’s biggest challenge. But it yields substantial rewards, among them recognition of future challenges and possible