The coming weeks brings a deluge of key economic data. Investors will be looking for patterns, above all in prices as they gauge the sustainability
Weekly Market Compass
Mr. Taper and Punch Bowls
It is clear that taper talk has arrived, and it won’t go away easily. What does this mean for markets?
Lessons in Humility
It is time for the Fed to normalize its language. If the Fed is to preserve its credibility and promote sounder financial market conditions,
What Unites Buffett and Powell? They are Both Wrong About Inflation.
Recently, Warren Buffett made headlines by declaring that he is seeing ‘substantial inflation’, while Fed Chairman Powell calls it only
The Tax Man Cometh
Might President’ Biden’s proposed new taxes on investment gains produce a sell-off in capital markets?
The Week Ahead Matters
Over the next five days investors face a veritable tsunami of corporate earnings and economic data releases. The week’s data deluge will
Earnings, Rotation and Regions
The stage is set for rising global output and corporate earnings for the remainder of 2021. Rotation has arrived in sector terms, and is now
It’s Data Time
This week kicks off the first quarter 2021 earnings season in earnest. The bar is high, and the data will soon need to validate embedded expectations,
Taking Stock of America
Today, as the Biden Administration unleashes the full power of the Federal Government to heal the economy, it is an opportune time to take
Siren Songs
The Ever Green fiasco is the perfect metaphor for what can go wrong in today’s economy. Efficienct supply chains lack adequate redundancy.
Market Forecasts vs. Fed Rhetoric
The Fed and the markets are playing risky games. Can each hold its nerve?
Reflation, Rotation and Rebalancing
Reflation and Rotation are all the rage. But over time, re-balancing matters more.
Central Bank Credibility
By tolerating an inflation overshoot, the Fed may be boxing itself in. Fine tuning is the stuff of hubris, and hubris rarely serves anyone
Keep an Eye on What Really Matters
Investors have been unnerved by rising bond yields. But volatility is not the enemy. Keep an eye on what really matters — economic re-opening
Scary Monsters
David Bowie’s ‘Let’s Dance’ may be catchier than ‘Scary Monsters’, but investors would be well advised to watch out for what lurks
How Deep Should Investors Swim?
Swimming against a tide pushed forward by massive policy stimulus seems likely to leave contrarian investors with little to show for their
Democratic Disagreement
Divisions among the Democrats are opening, with potentially profound impacts on a cyclical recovery, inflation, financial markets and longer-term
The Game Stops Here
The GameStop saga is not about altruism or financial democracy, more likely greed and a dollop of vengeance. But lessons ought to be drawn,
An Important Week
A combination of the peak of the 4th quarter earnings season, political wrangling over the Biden Administration’s proposal to stimulate
Doubt is Good
Believing erroneously in certainty is perilous — investors should be wary of certainty’s close cousin, consensus thinking.
Making Sense of the Nonsensical
The past week was marked by shocking images of violent protestors occupying the US Capitol, yet the horror barely registered in financial
Is Good News Bad News?
The key risk to the markets in the year ahead is mistaking good outcomes for good news — the outcomes we all fervently hope to see are,
Investing in 2021: Willful Ignorance or Calculated Risk?
2020 has been a year of calculated risk. But periods of strong returns often spawn complacency and excessive confidence.
Brexit Games
As the final weeks of 2020 wind down, investors should prepare themselves for the United Kingdom crashing out of the European Union in a hard