We live in a world of the improbable. Black swans, fat tails, Brexit and Donald Trump remind us that the improbable is possible, sometimes
Could Inflation Be The Next Big Thing?
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Avalanches, Pandemics and Democracy
Like in an avalanche involving a group of skiers where each has their own interpretation of the risk, there is no correct ‘moral’ stance
A Billion Here, A Billion There
The United States comprises 4% of the world’s population but consumes over 16% of its energy. It is high time for the United States to once
The Most Contentious Election Ever
Much as we might prefer to see it otherwise, it is quite difficult to see how this ends well.
Joe is not Barack (and that is a good thing)
Cometh the hour, cometh the man. ‘Uncle Joe’, centered and centrist, understanding and unflappable, decent and democratic, civil and civilian
Don’t Mess With Our History
President Trump has announced the creation of a 1776 Federal Commission to promote Patriotic History Education, which will classify any history
Our Moral Compass
Are we still a nation that believes that character counts? Are we still guided by a strong moral compass?
A K-Shaped Recovery is a Disaster
The stock market is soaring while small businesses are dying. It can’t go on this way. A K-shaped recovery is a disaster, and would undermine
Rings of Impact
Today, there is an important opportunity for businesses to engage in a “Race to the Top” as they re-design their practices to be attractive
Why the US Election May Not Matter for Investors
While the stakes of the upcoming US election are theoretically higher than usual, Julian Howard argues that the relationship between US politics
The Long Run
The long run is a forecaster’s biggest challenge. But it yields substantial rewards, among them recognition of future challenges and possible
Hong Kong is the Berlin of the 21st Century
Among the many points of tension and distrust that have become features of the deteriorating state of relations between China and the United
A Note from a Quaran-teen
July 17th will mark my 17th birthday. It will also mark the 138th day since I have come within six feet of anyone outside of my immediate
The Long and Winding Road
The return to work won’t be as simple as flipping the light switch and turning the gears of commerce back on. Expect it to be bumpy.
Protests, Violence and America’s Democracy
As in so many other cases, it often takes just one spark to light an eruption of outrage, itself an accumulation of rising levels of economic
How Markets and Governments Must Work Together
Economists have long known that the liberal ideal is an abstraction, a useful tool for theoretical reasoning, but hardly a template for reality.
The Dream Called the United States
The United States was to be a shining city on hill. A nation, rooted in exceptionalism, destined to transform the world for the positive.
The View From Argentina
Argentina is in crisis. The pandemic had turned a bleak story into something worse. The country may shortly default on its national debt for
How Our Homes and Cities Will Change
By 2050, two out of every three people on the planet are projected to be living in cities. In order for cities to cope with such increasing
The Big Thing
The Big Thing explains the Covid-19 crisis through the eyes of a 5 year old girl, and teaches children about the idea of silver linings and
Time to Face Up to Reality
It was all very predictable. The mood of fanfare and almost universal applause that greeted the launch of the big bazooka COVID-19 support
Repress Covid, Repress Finance?
The economic crisis unfolding in western economies is the fastest and deepest on record.
It Is Time For A Draft
In our national history, when we have faced terrible times of economic hardship, civil discord, and political division, more often than not
AIDS Offers COVID-19 Hope
History repeats itself. This idea, first floated by the Greek Hellenistic historian Polybius about 2000 years ago, gives us some hope for